Which mental state indicates that the individual is aware their actions will probably result in a specific outcome?

The correct answer is that the mental state known as "knowingly" indicates that the individual is aware their actions are likely to result in a specific outcome. In legal terms, this means that a person acts with the knowledge that their conduct will cause a particular result. For instance, if an individual knows that throwing a rock at a window will likely break it, their awareness of this probable outcome denotes a "knowing" mental state.

In contrast, the other options describe different mental states. "Negligently" involves a failure to be aware of a substantial and unjustifiable risk that results in harm, lacking the intentional awareness present in "knowingly." "Recklessly" refers to a conscious disregard of a substantial and unjustifiable risk, but it does not necessarily entail the same level of awareness about the specific outcome as the "knowingly" state. "Purposely" signifies acting with a specific intent to bring about a particular outcome, which is a stronger assertion of intent than merely being aware of a probable outcome.

Understanding these distinctions helps clarify the nuances of mental states in criminal law, highlighting the importance of an individual’s awareness and intentions when assessing their actions and potential liability.